Predictions: Trophée Eric Bompard 2015

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The competition looks pretty stacked for TEB 2015 so let’s get to it! My predictions last week were way off their mark and I have a feeling with so many wildcards about, it will be the same here. So onwards! More

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Highlights and Recap: TEB 2014

Trophee Eric Bompard ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating - Day Two

Last weekend, we were finally treated to a competition where the skating wasn’t actually that bad. Since I’m a little short on time and I’m rushing to get the predictions for the NHK trophy out, I’ll try to keep my thoughts short and sweet.

On a completely random note, I was 3/3 for podium predictions for TEB for the ladies, pairs and ice dance!

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Trophee Eric Bompard 2012: Predictions

So today, I came across the concept of a regression analysis, which is super interesting because it is essentially what Nate Silver did on fivethirtyeight to correctly predict the electoral college outcomes for 50 out of 50 states and the District of Columbia in the most recent U.S. presidential election. My curiosity has led me to ponder whether I should somehow try to create a regression model to predict figure skating results though I’ll definitely need a lot of guidance and help and maybe more information on it in general. Personally, it might be less biased and a lot easier on me if a mathstatsmagician wizard like Nate Silver could come along and create a model because I hold firm on the adage that ice is slippery and that a regression model would probably fail to capture the insane world of figure skating where the location, the proximity of the Olympics, whether or not you’re sleeping with Nikolai Morozov, all sorts of ridiculous things come into play.

In any case, I’ll do my predictions the same old way as I did before but I may try to see if I can come up with a regression model if I manage to have any free time. For TEB, I would actually love to have statistics do all the work for me because the roster is not only kind of boring but the playing field is quite level, which means I’ll have to piddle around with a whole bunch of B-list skaters to figure out the lower rungs of the podium.

A fierce Liza beckons you in… More

The Senior Grand Prix Series is almost here!!!

Who’s excited??? Here are the dates for each of the events:

Skate America
Ontario, U.S.A
October 21st to October 23rd
Entries

Skate Canada
Mississauga, Canada
October 28th to October 30th
Entries

Cup of China
Shanghai, China
November 4th to November 6th
Entries

NHK Trophy
Sapporo, Japan
November 11th to November 13th
Entries

TEB
Paris, France
November 18th to November 20th
Entries

Rostelecom Cup
Moscow, Russia
November 25th to November 27th
Entries

Grand Prix Final
Quebec City, Canada
December 8th to December 11th
Entries – tba!

Trophée Eric Bompard: Predictions

It’s time for the last grand prix event before the final!!! Trophée Eric Bompard will hopefully be an exciting event. Let’s take a look at some of the top contenders in each field.

Men

TEB will feature a rematch between Brian Joubert and the young, but talented Takahiko Kozuka who won the Cup of China. I’m not quite sure what the French Federation’s stance on Joubert at the moment. He has the jumps but I feel as if Florent Amodio (who’s also in this competition) is on the rise and may soon replace Joubert as the top French man. If he can be consistent that is. As for any other podium possibilities… Brandon Mroz won silver in his last competition but he’s very s….l…o…w… in all his elements although he has lovely jumps.

Ladies

Mao is back and with a practice sans jumps, we have no clue how she’s going to do. If Alissa Czisny has seriously gotten consistency, she can take the gold if Mao bombs her ass off as she did at NHK. She’s had quite a bit of time to work on her jumps and all I can hope is that she can recover from that devastating event. Mirai Nagasu may be a podium contender but she has a lot of consistency issues as well. At this point, the ladies podium depends on Mao and Alissa but if they’re inconsistent, it’s a bit of a free for all.

Pairs

Aliona Savchenko and Robin Szalkowy are pretty much locked for gold unless they get injured or something. There’s really no competition for them although Vera Bazarova and Yuri Larionov will be fair contenders for silver. These two seem to be on the rise for Sochi.

Ice Dance

Nathalie Pechalat and Fabian Bourzat are the lock for gold in ice dance. The competition in this discipline at this point is sad. Just plain sad. Chock and Zuerlin will probably make it to the final just because they had really little competition in their GP events. And then they’ll get crushed in the final. Sigh. I hope that  the Shibutanis can somehow end up in the final. I think that even with Samuelson & Bates’ return next year, the Shibushibus will hold onto the #2 spot for U.S. ice dance.

The Cafe’s Picks

Men: Takahiko Kozuka
Ladies: Mao Asada (crosses fingers for her)
Pairs: Aliona Savchenko & Robin Szolkowy
Ice Dance: Natalie Pechalat & Fabian Bourzat