Predictions: GPF 2017

The week has been long and insanely busy, once again. The competition may have already started already so I apologize. Names on page, let’s go.

Men

Without Yuzuru, the competition will likely be between Shoma Uno and Nathan Chen for gold. The former was a little shaky in his last GP assignment though home ice may be kind. Chen is going into the competition with full confidence from his win at Skate America. Either way, I think the ball is in Shoma’s court but I think he will fumble a bit here.

The rest of the field don’t quite have the quads, save for Mikhail Kolyada, who seems to have finally found his rhythm. Barring a total meltdown, he should be able to secure the bronze.

Predictions:

Gold: Nathan Chen
Silver:
Shoma Uno
Bronze:
Mikhail Kolyada

Ladies

Strange how neither singles World Champion is at this competition. With the vacuum left by Evgenia Medvedeva, I think that Alina Zagitova can fill it with her double tano jumps and back-ended programs. There are other skaters who are well rounded and have more enjoyable programs to watch but you can’t deny that 1) the back-ended programs rack up points and 2) the judges have never marked PCS correctly to penalize skaters with incoherent or check-box like programs.

Some challengers: Kaetlyn Osmond if she can get herself together and Carolina Kostner, who skates with a polish and maturity well beyond the rest of the field. Maria Sotskova should also be in contention for a medal. This will be a tough call. I think Osmond can win this should she skate clean but I’m not sure if I’m ready to put my faith in her yet.

Predictions:

Gold: Alina Zagitova
Silver:
Maria Sotskova
Bronze:
Kaetlyn Osmond

Pairs

What a great roster. Pairs has gone from my least favourite disciplines to my favourite. Wenjing Sui & Cong Han look strong this season, and one of their biggest rivals, Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford faltered at Skate America last week. The judges don’t seem to like their style this season as much as the previous seasons so whatever their TES, Sui & Han will likely have the higher PCS throughout the competition. Should the Chinese pair skate clean, they will be hard to beat at any competition this season.

Bronze will be a tough call between Evgenia Tarasova & Vladimir Morozov with their wtf LP and Aliona Savchenko & Bruno Massot, with probably my favourite LP of the season. So many tough calls.

Predictions:

Gold: Wenjing Sui & Cong Han
Silver:
Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford
Bronze:
Aliona Savchenko & Bruno Massot

Ice Dance

I said it at the beginning of the season and even if I’m not fully confident of my other predictions, I am fairly certain that Gabriella Papadakis & Guillaume Cizeron will be Olympic Champions in Pyeongchang. Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir failed to improve on their scores on non-home ice, and are prone to small but costly mistakes. The French have been steadily improving and are super consistent – their inexperience jitters are gone and they’re in it to win it. Furthermore, both P&C’s programs this season are more coherent than that of their rivals. I’m not sure if V&M can win that second title they were looking for.

As for bronze, the leading American team will fill that spot and for now, it’s still the Shibsibs. If any of the other American teams want that top spot at Nationals this season, now is the time to make a case for themselves.

Predictions:

Gold: Gabriella Papadakis & Guillaume Cizeron
Silver:
Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir
Bronze:
Maia Shibutani & Alex Shibutani

What are your predictions for the GPF? Let me know in the comments!

~The Rinkside Cafe

 

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Predictions: Grand Prix Final 2016

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I swore that I would be on top of things for the GPF so I am starting early this week. The only downside to this is that if there’s last minute withdrawals, I’ll have to change things up.

In any case, the GPF is looking to be an exciting competition where skaters will want to line themselves nicely going into Worlds. The stakes are higher this season because their standings at Worlds determine a) how many skaters their country gets to send to the Olympics and b) their reputation and momentum going into the Olympic season. The GPF will determine the course of a few things as we head into the stretch of the season devoted to Nationals, 4CC and Euros.

More

Debrief: Grand Prix Final – Part II

stolbova klimov 15 gpf lp

Alright! It’s time for part II of the Grand Prix Final debrief with the pairs and ice dance competition! I apologize for the lateness but better late than never? These posts remind me why I usually do a “State of the Union” post after the GPF but it seems this season, my tardiness has some benefits. I believe some of the results at Nationals may be a little more telling than what transpired at the GPF so… I will do a 4CC predictions post but all my thoughts on the outcomes of Euros and 4CC and some of the national competitions will be summed up in a State of the Union post.

As for Worlds… well, I have a bit of a surprise which I think I will reveal a little later in the season. But first, GPF debrief! Let’s go!

More

State of the Union 2014/15

After watching Obama’s interesting speech yesterday, I decided to write this post as my GPF recap post while also commenting on how I feel the season will go now that we’ve reached the mid-way point. The GPF was quite a telling competition and already, certain pieces are starting to fall into place as the Olympic cycle is slowly picking up.

elena radionova 14 gpf lp

Here are my thoughts on the GPF and what the competition is like as we go into the second half of the figure skating season. More

Roster for the GPF 2012

Men

Wow, Team Japan is going in strong here.

Yuzuru Hanyu
Daisuke Takahashi
Takahiko Kozuka
Tatsuki Machida

And the non-Japanese…

Patrick Chan
Javier Fernandez

Alternates: Jeremy Abbott, Florent Amodio, Takahito Mura

Ladies

Akiko Suzuki
Mao Asada
Julia Lipnitskaia (out due to injury)
Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
Ashley Wagner
Kiira Korpi

*Christina Gao (taking Lipnitskaia’s place)

Alternates: Mirai Nagasu, Kanako Murakami

Pairs

*sob* No Aliona & Robin

And note that Mother Russia wants her gold back in pairs.

Tatiana Volosozhar & Maxim Trankov
Yuko Kavaguti & Alexander Smirnov
Vera Bazarova & Yuri Larionov

The only somewhat plausible threat to a Russian sweep of the medals?

Qing Pang & Jian Tong

Though I’m sure PJ Kwong will have to talk about how fabulous these guys will be and how they could be a threat for silver or bronze:

Meaghan Duhamel & Eric Radford
Kirsten Moore-Towers & Dylan Moscovitch

Alternates: Caydee Denney & John Coughlin, Stefania Berton & Ondrej Hotarek, Ksenia Stolbova & Fedor Klimov

Ice Dance

The epic battle continues between

Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir
Meryl Davis & Charlie White

Mother Russia will make an attack for the bronze with

Elena Ilinykh & Nikita Katsalapov (and their craptastic Ghost program)
Ekaterina Bobrova & Dmitri Sloviev

Though the rest of Europe will try to take bronze from the Russians through

Nathalie Pechalat & Fabian Bourzat
Anna Cappellini & Luca Lanotte

Alternates: Kaitlyn Weaver & Andrew Poje, Ekaterina Riazanova & Ilia Tkachenko, Maia & Alex Shibutani

Not too bad a roster for the GPF this year. What do you think?

~The Rinkside Cafe

GPF 2011 – Predictions on who will be there and who won’t

So I admit I’m a bit confused over the 3 entry thing this year for the Grand Prix series and as a result, I’m making predictions without looking at the points that everyone’s gotten so far. Most of them are pretty obvious by now, though.

Men

  1. Daisuke Takahashi
  2. Patrick Chan
  3. Michal Brezina
  4. Song Nan
  5. Javier Fernandez
  6. Jeremy Abbott

Ladies

  1. Elizaveta Tukatmysheva
  2. Carolina Kostner
  3. Alissa Czisny
  4. Mao Asada
  5. Akiko Suzuki
  6. Adelina Sotnikova

Pairs

  1. Aliona Savchenko & Robin Szolkowy
  2. Yuko Kavaguti & Alexander Smirnov
  3. Tatiana Volosozhar & Maxim Trankov
  4. The Zhangs
  5. Kirsten Moore-Towers & Dylan Moscovitch
  6. Narumi Takahashi & Mervin Tran

Ice Dance

  1. Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir
  2. Meryl Davis & Charlie White
  3. The Shibutanis
  4. Nathalie Pechalat & Fabian Bourzat
  5. Ekaterina Bobrova & Dmitri Sloviev
  6. Kaitlyn Weaver & Andrew Poje

I’m sort of half-asleep while writing this so what do you think?

~The Rinkside Cafe

P.S. Cup of Russia predictions will be posted later on this week. Event coverage will be limited until the new year. I apologize. Though my schedule may allow me to make an exception for the GPF.

The Senior Grand Prix Series is almost here!!!

Who’s excited??? Here are the dates for each of the events:

Skate America
Ontario, U.S.A
October 21st to October 23rd
Entries

Skate Canada
Mississauga, Canada
October 28th to October 30th
Entries

Cup of China
Shanghai, China
November 4th to November 6th
Entries

NHK Trophy
Sapporo, Japan
November 11th to November 13th
Entries

TEB
Paris, France
November 18th to November 20th
Entries

Rostelecom Cup
Moscow, Russia
November 25th to November 27th
Entries

Grand Prix Final
Quebec City, Canada
December 8th to December 11th
Entries – tba!

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