Predictions: Worlds 2017

Nathan Chen

Yes, I know, it’s been a while. Hello, darling Readers! Apologies for not putting up predictions for Euros of 4CC but things are busy on my end since the year began. It will be unlikely that I will post comprehensive predictions for the World Team Trophy (my guess right now is Russia, Japan and Canada though that may change after Worlds) since I’ll be on vacation right before it starts but we’ll see. For now, let’s content ourselves with our predictions for this year’s (very important) World Championships, which will decide how many skaters each country gets to send to the Olympics.

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Predictions: Grand Prix Final 2016

SAMSUNG CAMERA PICTURES

I swore that I would be on top of things for the GPF so I am starting early this week. The only downside to this is that if there’s last minute withdrawals, I’ll have to change things up.

In any case, the GPF is looking to be an exciting competition where skaters will want to line themselves nicely going into Worlds. The stakes are higher this season because their standings at Worlds determine a) how many skaters their country gets to send to the Olympics and b) their reputation and momentum going into the Olympic season. The GPF will determine the course of a few things as we head into the stretch of the season devoted to Nationals, 4CC and Euros.

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Predictions: NHK Trophy 2015

mao 2015 lp

Another competition is upon us! The NHK Trophy is the last of the GP series before the Grand Prix Final and I am super excited!

In other news, CBC has reported that the ISU will use the standings from the SP as the final standings to calculate who gets into the GPF. This means that my predictions have completely gone into the garbage for TEB but in all honesty, I’m just glad that the skaters are safe. My continued thoughts and prayers go out to all those affected by all of the terrible acts of terrorism around the world.

And now, back to our regular programming of predictions for this year’s NHK Trophy. More

Predictions: Cup of China 2015

xiaoyu yu yang jin 14 coc lp

Wow! I had seriously forgotten how fast-paced the GP series is! With the time difference, I hope that this post makes it in time before the competition starts. Either way, this was written before the competition starts so onward we go with predictions! May they be just as good as they were last week. Though now I think I’ve jinxed myself. More

European Championships 2015: Highlights and Recap

kavaguti smirnov euros 2015 spThe World Championships are looming ahead and I finally have time to sit down and catch up. First up: Euros. Let’s get right down to business, shall we? More

Predictions: The Grand Prix Final 2014

The Grand Prix Finals is upon us!

javier fernandez black betty
I always find the GPF to be a defining moment in the season. The GPF is often the first time all the heavyweights come to compete after a series of seeded competitions where they can win or at least medal easily. Even without some of the top contenders on the list, the GPF can help or hinder skaters – they can either prove that they have what it takes to be on top in a tough field or they can fall into the wayside of irrelevancy. There are definitely some match-ups to watch this weekend, which will make for a good competition. Let’s just hope that actual good skating gets thrown into the mix here as well. More

Skate Canada International 2014: Highlights and Commentary

satoko miyahara 14 sc lp

I was away Saturday evening, meaning I missed some of the competitions that happened in the evening but I have caught up and I’m ready to blog! I will not be silenced! Skate Canada was slightly better than Skate America in that there was more than one highlight. Otherwise, there was still a lot of mindless choreography, strange music cuts and random lyrics that brought nothing to the program.

Men

The story last weekend for the men was a continuation of what happened in Skate America: without Daisuke’s starpower to overshadow them, the lower ranked Japanese man of seasons past – Takahito Mura – brought his A-game, threw down the gauntlet and showed everyone that he was a force to be reckoned with by winning gold. Sadly, Mura did skate to the Phantom of the Opera with haphazard music cuts. Mura does have lovely jump technique but I’d like to see him skate to a non-warhorse. But, in any case, here’s another Japanese man I can’t underestimate in my predictions for the rest of the season.

Javier Fernandez, who was leading after the short skated a frantic and mistake-filled long. Rossini’s “Barber of Seville” is a beautiful and energetic opera (and I am so excited to see it live in Spring of 2015) but his choreographer seemed to create very frenetic moments in the program that prevent Javier from showcasing his skating ability and charming personality. His SP is slightly better though it does feel a little like Yuzuru’s record breaking SP. Javier brings a lot of charm and smoulder to this program to make it his but there’s a niggling feeling inside me that tells me that Javier could do better than this.

As for bronze medalist, Max Aaron, well, he skated. I was not enthused about his Gladiator LP. Neither were a few of my Twitter followers. ‘Nuff said.

Ladies

Anna Pogorilya, successfully defended her Skate Canada title against Ashley Wagner. Pogorilaya’s technical elements score was a key factor in her victory and understandably so. Her flat interpretation (complete with a lack of facial expressions) of her Firebird LP felt frenetic and rushed and the music and the music cuts didn’t quite help. Wagner on the other hand, sold her programs… as Michelle Kwan. From the opening double axel to the flat fingered arm movements, everything Wagner did on ice was reminiscent of the Kween in terms of choreography. That might sound good on paper but let’s remember this from last season:

ashley-wagner meme face
Ashley was an internet meme for her no bullshit personality and even though I’m not partial to her skating, this is what I like best about Ashley Wagner. She has a personality. It’s a strong one that not everyone might like (though that’s true for everyone) and she’s not an ice princess but she’s her. While Gracie Gold was being neatly packaged in preparation for the next Olympic cycle in Sochi, Ashley decided to skate programs that fit her – she was not a blushing Juliet but a powerful Delilah. That is what I like about her – that’s not Michelle Kwan but herself through and through. In fact, in this sense, I feel as if she’s more likeable than Gracie Gold, who I don’t really know anything about. Who is she beyond that neatly manicured image of her? We’re certainly not going to know with the way that she’s packaged this season.

Moving on, I think the highlight of the ladies competition for me was Satoko Miyahara. I’m not fond of her SP, especially the costume but her LP was interesting. In terms of choreography, it’s not amazing but she sells this program so well that it doesn’t even feel like she’s selling you anything. The bonus? Her speed and how I am so fascinated by her jumps. They don’t gain much height but they’re generally solid and she lands them with a beautiful running edge. Of course, I don’t doubt that she has issues with under-rotation but her landings are a thing of beauty.

Pairs

I know that I’m already not that popular with Canadian readers, probably because I’m Canadian and refuse to drink the CBC pro-Canadian cool-aid but I fear that what I have to say will make me even less popular. I am trying to like Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford, I really am. I really like how they’re trying to push pairs skating into trying more difficult elements like side by side triple lutzes and quad throw salchows but beyond these big tricks, I don’t really feel anything when I watch this team. (I’m not even sure if that’s better or worse than the exasperation and dread I feel when I watch Volosozhar & Trankov skate to Evanescence/other emo music.) Maybe it’s the choice of music (I’m really not fond of their song for the SP) or maybe it’s just that they’re more skaters and less performers but they’re missing that magical spark. Maybe it’s just me and I have no soul but beyond the fact that they’re throwing out huge tricks, I’m not really as fascinated with these two as the rest of Canada.

I’ll mention Evgnia Tarasova & Vladimir Morozov before I talk about the highlight of the pairs competition, who I thought had lovely classic Russian lines. I’m not completely taken with them but I’m curious to see how they develop. These two emote well on the ice and their skating is decently solid that I would earmark them as a team with potential. Another team with potential I’d like to point out is Madeline Aaron & Max Settlage – although Madeline skates with a lot more polish than her partner (she finishes her movements, has better lines and general skating skills), I really love the energy these two bring on the ice.

As for my highlight for the pairs competition, that honour goes to Wenjing Sui & Cong Han. Honestly, I had to a degree, written these two off after their rough season last year, which is why I predicted they’d win the bronze rather than the silver. However, it seems as if Sui & Han really took their loss of a trip to the Olympics to heart and revamped their skating technique. Since last season, they seem more together, their movements look more controlled and they look as if they’ve gained a little more consistency than before. Sui & Han feel like Takahashi & Tran during their peak but with a little more maturity and I am so excited to watch them skate their LP again. There’s a subtle drama to it and I think it’s a wonderful vehicle for them to showcase how they’ve grown.

Ice Dance

paul rubens hippopotamus hunt

I’m still waiting for an ice dance team to really shine this season but again, the season has just started. But still… there has to be one memorable Paso Doble SD and I’m still struggling to think of one I actually remember. As for the teams, Kaitlyn Weaver & Andrew Poje won easily though their FD may need to be reworked. If you know anything about art history in the Baroque period, you’d know that this period in art was known to be florid and ornate in order to produce art that was very dramatic and grand. (See above, Peter Paul Rubens’ Hippopotamus Hunt.)

Vivaldi’s music, including The Four Seasons was born during this art period. Though beloved by many, The Four Seasons is a piece of music with a lot of details, which might not be easily paired with ice skating, a sport based on long gliding movements. Skaters such as Alexei Yagudin have used parts of this music successfully in the past but they seemed to have limited themselves to one season. Weaver & Poje’s ambitious program seeks to cut music from all four seasons together and from what I’ve seen, I’m not sure if it works. The program overall looks rushed and the movements don’t feel coherently tied together. Overall, this program is a little like their statue program from a few seasons back, a little rough in its first iteration though this time, I’m not very fond of its first iteration as I was with Humanity in Motion.

Piper Gilles & Paul Poirier surprised me with a charming FD. I quite like that rotational lift with Piper in a standing position and overall, they’re already miles ahead of what Vanessa Crone & Paul used to be.

Anyways, I’m finished writing. What about you? What did you think of Skate Canada? Let me hear your opinions in the comments!

~Rinkside Cafe

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